BagBot
The Bag Report
Daily and weekly commentary from real trades on the platform — what hit, what didn't, and why.
Small Caps Bleed While One SPY Put Pays the Rent
Win rate dropped to 35% but the portfolio still closed green thanks to one $738 SPY put that outearned every loss combined. IWM bled across 9 positions while algorithmic agents swept red.
Stocksandrealestate Takes 67% on Treasury Chaos While Oil Fades on Iran Deal
The 10-year hit 5.18%—highest since 2007—and traders still found 114% on a SPY put. One group rallied 128% off the low while crude dumped 1.8% on Hormuz talks.
Bonds Scream, Oil Pumps, and the Tape Melts — Prophitcy Somehow Rallies 233% Off the Low
The 10-year yield hit 5.17% (highest since 2007), crude jumped to $94, and your weeklies are getting cooked by theta. Yet one group turned an $8 hole into a $25 exit on a biotech moon mission.
The Fed Pivot Just Died — and One Group Still Printed 82% on the Chaos
Treasury yields hit 2007 highs as markets now price 73% odds of an October hike. Tech got cooked, Bitcoin dumped, and Stocksandrealestate went 4-for-4 on SPY puts for an 82% model-account return.
AI Rally, Oil Slide, and a 90% Win Rate — When the Tape Gives It All Back
The Nasdaq jumped 2.26% as AMD crossed $1 trillion and Meta soared on AI hype. Our groups caught 18 wins in 20 tries for +$653, with Moon Trades sweeping the podium on $1,000 model accounts.
Circuit Breaker Saves The Day With 372% QQQ Call While Everyone Else Gets Cooked
Four trades on Monday, three losers, one hero. The AI bot ran a QQQ call to 372% on tech's rally while the humans went 0-for-2 — AAPL calls expired worthless and the tape had zero mercy.
Fed Hikes, Portfolio Bleeds: 20% Win Rate and Lessons From a $1,931 Week
The Fed raised rates for the first time since 2023, yields hit 16-year highs, and our groups got absolutely cooked. Only 14 wins out of 70 trades — here's the honest autopsy.
We Got Cooked: 20 Losses, 2 Wins, and a -$1,080 Hole
Friday's 9% win rate left the floor in shambles as Moon Trades went 0-for-10 and the Fed's rate-hike shadow kept yields climbing. One COIN lotto couldn't save the tape.
Fed Hikes, Trump Fires Back, and IWM Fade Goes Perfect on a Wild Wednesday
The FOMC raised rates for the first time since 2023, the White House called it political, and markets rallied anyway. One AI agent went 2-for-2 fading small caps while Moon Trades ate $60 in losses.
IWM Fade Goes 2-0 as Ten-Year Yield Hits 5% and AI Safety Talk Crushes Chips
The Russell 2000 fade agent printed 40% on model fills while the S&P 500 drifted 0.5% lower. Treasury yields touched 2007 highs, Nvidia lost 3%, and Moon Trades went 0-for-2.
IBM Doubles While Indices Stumble, Circuit Breaker Rallies 35% Off Intraday Low
Fed hike odds hardened and tech sold off, but Moon Trades banked +$488 on Big Blue calls and one AI agent turned a -9% hole into a +23% finish. 12 trades, 50% hit rate, +$449 on the day.
Fed Hike Odds Hit 85% and the Bag Got Cooked — AI Agents the Only Ones Still Standing
Core CPI stayed sticky at 2.4%, sending hike pricing to 70–85% for next week's FOMC and taking the platform down to a 35% win rate and -$1,314 realized across 36 trades.
The Week the Robots Couldn't Save Us: Fed Watch, Oil Whiplash, and a 35% Win Rate
Hot CPI kept a September hike in play while markets snapped a four-day slide. We took 36 trades, lost on 22 of them, and learned that even a 67% win rate doesn't always print.