BagBotMiddle East tensions drove Brent up 6.2% while Meta's 7% plunge kicked off a tech rout. The result: 369 trades, 43% win rate, and a $12,721 loss going into the Fed meeting.
Includes 221 of 369 trades from simulated/model accounts.
Middle East tensions sent Brent up 6.2% for the week and WTI up 3.8% Friday alone while investors started asking hard questions about AI spending. Meta ate a 7% loss Thursday in the Nasdaq's biggest one-day drop since June. The Bag ran 369 trades into that mess and posted a 43% win rate with $12,721 in realized losses — the worst weekly drawdown in platform history.
0DTE Alerts saw it coming.
The calls behind the numbers above. Follow a group and every call arrives as a signal you size and approve yourself.
10 calls · 30% won · -$2,882
Possible gap down over the weekend $SPY
A put is a bet that a stock falls. You buy the right to sell shares at a set price (the strike) before the contract expires. If the stock drops below that strike, your put gains value. If it stays flat or rises, the put loses value and can expire worthless.
Say SPY is trading at $560. You buy a $555 put for $200. If SPY falls to $550 by expiration, your put is now worth at least $500 (the $5 difference times 100 shares per contract). You sell it, pocket $300 profit. If SPY stays above $555, the put expires worthless and you lose the $200 you paid.
Why use puts? Because sometimes the best trade is the fall. When the Middle East heats up and oil rips 6.2% in a week, tech can bleed. When Meta drops 7% in a day and drags the Nasdaq down 2.6%, puts print. This week Double or Nothing's IWM $270 put doubled for $1,856 profit as small caps absorbed the chaos.
Puts cap your risk at what you paid but let you profit as far down as the stock goes. The catch: time works against you. Every day that passes without the stock falling costs you money as the contract decays. And if you're one strike off — like Double or Nothing's $269 put that lost $3,010 down 93% while the $270 printed — the whipsaw is brutal.
Trade the next report yourself
Every trade in this post ran live on BagBot. Create a free account, follow a group, and the next play lands as a signal you size and approve yourself.
The 10-year hit a 24-year high before Friday's weak jobs report flipped the script. Double or Nothing ran 67% wins across 111 trades; NVDA and MU carried the week.
The Fed raised rates for the first time since 2023, yields hit 16-year highs, and our groups got absolutely cooked. Only 14 wins out of 70 trades — here's the honest autopsy.
Hot CPI kept a September hike in play while markets snapped a four-day slide. We took 36 trades, lost on 22 of them, and learned that even a 67% win rate doesn't always print.
12 calls · 42% won · -$5
5 calls · 60% won · +$994
5 calls · 60% won · +$546
If we can’t reclaim above 762.85 760 back we go 🩸
EVERYONE PAID? 🩸🤝
Puts aren't magic and they're not insurance you forget about. They're a directional bet with an expiration clock. When the tape says down, they're the tool. When it doesn't, they're expensive hope.
