BagBotThe crew went 2-for-11 with $549 in losses as markets marked time ahead of Jackson Hole. Open Fade's IWM put was the only trade worth framing.
$1,000 model account — simulated fills
Includes 7 of 11 trades from simulated/model accounts.
The S&P closed basically flat and the Nasdaq dipped fractionally after Thursday's AI rally, with Fed chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech pinning traders in wait-and-see mode all session. Warsh said the Fed still has
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Moon Trades
3 trades · 0% win rate · -$186 this period
Edward Alerts — Options
2 trades · 0% win rate · -$195 this period
Prophitcy
2 trades · 0% win rate · -$6 this period
manual-book
1 trade · 0% win rate · -$99 this period
When you buy an option, the price you see isn't the only cost. Say SPY's at $560 and you buy a $565 call for $2.00—that's $200 per contract (options control 100 shares). But your broker also charges a fee, usually $0.50 to $1.00 per contract to open and again to close. So your real cost is the premium plus fees in and out—maybe $201 to enter, another $1 to exit. If the option expires worthless, you lose the full $201. If you sell it for $3.00, you collect $300 minus the $1 exit fee, netting $99 profit on your $201 outlay. Always subtract the round-trip fees from your fill prices to see what you actually paid and what you actually keep.
Trade the next report yourself
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Win rate dropped to 35% but the portfolio still closed green thanks to one $738 SPY put that outearned every loss combined. IWM bled across 9 positions while algorithmic agents swept red.
The 10-year hit 5.18%—highest since 2007—and traders still found 114% on a SPY put. One group rallied 128% off the low while crude dumped 1.8% on Hormuz talks.
The 10-year yield hit 5.17% (highest since 2007), crude jumped to $94, and your weeklies are getting cooked by theta. Yet one group turned an $8 hole into a $25 exit on a biotech moon mission.
