Stocks ended the week up even though Friday was ugly. The S&P 500 fell 0.4% Friday but gained 2.5% for the week, and the Nasdaq slid 0.9% on the day while adding 2.3% weekly. Meanwhile Nvidia lost its CEO, bitcoin cracked under $67,000, and the 10-year yield sat near 5.15%.
Inside that weather, our platform closed 201 trades for -$2,145 realized. We won 108 and lost 93, a 54% win rate. Yes, that's a winning hit rate on a losing week. The losers were just bigger than the winners, and that's the whole story.
Friday's slide paid the 0DTE puts, and a QQQ put still went to zero
A put is a bet that something falls. A 0DTE option is one that expires the same day it trades, so it either pops or it's gone by the close. Friday's dip was the pop. The @_0DTE account posted a SPY 750 put going from 0.23 to 3.75, which they tagged "1,530%+". Their XSP 750 put went from 0.55 to 2.70, tagged "390%+". Their summary: "Both $XSP & $SPY PUTS PAID."
Then there's the other side of the coin. The Circuit Breaker AI/Tech 0DTE agent's QQQ 645 put finished at -100%, a -$1,974 hit, and the worst trade of our week. The exit was eod-force-close-expired-worthless, meaning it rode to the closing bell and the option was worth nothing.
Same kind of trade. Same tape. One screenshot goes viral, the other one is a quiet autopsy. That's 0DTE: the payout is loud, the loss is silent, and the loss happens way more often than the payout gets posted.
Nvidia down 12% on the week as Huang exits, and 19 NVDA trades netted -$482
Nvidia fell about 12% for the week after Jensen Huang's abrupt departure, dragging chip stocks with it. Kalshi had the news-cycle cherry on top: "Trump says Jensen Huang should fight for his job." The Nov. 17 earnings report is now the next big date on everyone's calendar.
Our traders were all over it. Nineteen NVDA trades, -$482 total. That's barely a scratch next to the other tickers, which tells you the group was dodging both the knife and the bounce.
The commentary was loud and split. TheStreet had Nvidia down over 30% from the highs with one wealth manager still calling it a buy. Another CIO called the AI pullback "extraordinarily healthy." Maybe. Pullbacks feel healthy when somebody else is holding the bag. We're just reporting the number: slightly red, no heroics.
IWM was the week's biggest drain at -$3,676 while SPCX and PLTR carried the books
Let's be honest about the damage. Twenty IWM trades cost -$3,676, the biggest hole of the week by a mile. The "this is the bottom" calls on IWM and SPY came in before Friday's slide, and the market treated them like a suggestion. SPY ended -$606 across 24 trades. QQQ added -$1,348 over 7.
The patch on the hole came from two names. SPCX traded 41 times for +$3,168, topped by a 150 call that made +$1,730 for manual-book on a resting-take-profit exit. That means the sell order was parked in advance and filled itself. Zero chart-staring required. TheStreet noted SpaceX investors are back where they started five months after the IPO, with Morgan Stanley seeing an opening. Somebody found it.
PLTR added +$2,315 over 24 trades, and the Seeing Stone agent went 5-for-5 on its calls. Manual-book finished at +$3,563 real money, but went just 12-for-31 on calls. A few big winners covered a lot of misses.
FAA ground stop and 5.15% yields kept markets on edge into the weekend
Late Friday, a nationwide FAA departure stop hit airline shares. Kalshi had the odds of a software error being confirmed as the cause at 72%. The FBI said it wasn't a cyberattack or criminal conduct. Good, but it's still a bad look for the one day airline stocks needed boring.
Underneath that, rates did the usual. October producer prices came in at 6.5% year over year and the 10-year yield sat around 5.15%. WTI crude hovered near $89 a barrel. Nothing blew up, but nothing relaxed either. Markets went into the weekend squinting.
FORM GUIDE
Reading the tape off the numbers, not giving a prediction.
- Mission Control — SpaceX AI Agent: 23 trades, 36.7 % return, 65% win rate. Hottest sheet on the card. It went 3-2 on calls, with +$194 real and +$193 paper.
- Seeing Stone — PLTR AI Agent: 18 trades, 31.8 % return, 89% win rate. The hot hand, and the only group that went unbeaten on calls this week.
- Booster Shot — MRNA AI Agent: 10 trades, -11.4 % return, 60% win rate. It went 3-1 on calls and made +$943 real, but paper finished at -$1,018. Split personality.
- Double or Nothing: 14 trades, -40.9 % return, 29% win rate. Cold. It went 1-for-7 on calls, and the tape says the name is being taken literally.
- Neural Net — AI Stocks Picker: 7 trades, -19.6 % return, 43% win rate. Paper only at -$1,950, so no real money bled.
- BagBot Desk, 0DTE Alerts and Line Cook: all slightly red on return, with win rates of 56%, 63% and 50%. Quiet, not broken.
What the week taught
A 54% win rate and a -$2,145 week can live in the same book. Winning often is not the same as winning big, and options make the gap wider. The same contract type gave us a 1,530% screenshot and a -100% zero in one week. The upside is real, the floor is also real, and sizing is the only thing that decides which one you remember. Monday starts with Nvidia earnings on the horizon, so nobody gets to relax.
