The Floor Today
The Fed raised rates Wednesday for the first time in years—inflation from elevated crude during US-Israeli tensions—and Friday the hangover hit. Yields climbed again, the S&P slipped 0.1–0.2%, and our floor bled out: 22 trades closed, 20 losses, -$1,080 across the books. Moon Trades went full eclipse—10 swings, 10 losses, zero survivors. Even Edward's 92% COIN lotto couldn't plug the hole.
The Podium
On model accounts (simulated fills, each starting at a grand), here's who ran the tape.
Third place: Prophitcy — 0W-1L, flat day return. One COST call expired worthless for -$145, the single worst trade of the session. No sugar-coating it: got caught completely wrong-footed.
Second place: Edward Alerts — Options — 1W-2L, flat day return, -$103 real P&L. Two exits hit the floor, but one COIN 190 call closed at +92% for +$72 and kept the scorecard alive. The only group today that logged a win and a pulse.
Top of the tape: Open Fade — AI 0DTE Agent — 1W-0L, +4% day return on the model account (+$4 model P&L). One trade, one clean exit, the only undefeated card at the bell. Small size, zero drama, and the crown by default when everyone else was down bad.
The Comeback
Moon Trades opened the model account at $444, dropped to a low of $307 mid-session, then clawed back to $351 by the close—a 14% rally off the floor. Still finished the day down 21% and 0-for-7 on live closes, but the tape showed some fight on the way out instead of just bleeding into the bell.
Portfolio Bleeds Red as 20 of 22 Trades Close in the Loss Column
Nine percent win rate. Two greens in 22 closes. Moon Trades took 10 swings and missed every single one—LNN, HHH, FET all got smoked for a combined -$466. Manual-book went 0-for-5 for -$315. Edward posted the session's only real win with that COIN call—he'd flagged it as a lotto and it printed 92%—but his other two exits dragged the group to -$103 overall. Prophitcy's COST 945 call lost 99% and closed as the day's worst trade at -$145. The one bright spot: Open Fade's model account took one 0DTE trade and banked +$4 without a single loss. Everywhere else, wholesale carnage.
Fed Rate Hike Casts Shadow Over Markets as Yields Resume Climb
Wednesday the Fed hiked for the first time in years, citing inflation tied to elevated crude during the US-Israeli conflict with Iran. Thursday brought relief—crude cooled, yields dropped, the S&P rallied 1.1% and the Nasdaq ripped 1.7%. By Friday that grace period ended: Treasury yields edged higher again, the S&P gave back 0.1–0.2%, and the Dow slipped 0.35–0.38%. The macro mood is cautious but orderly—no new shocks, just investors digesting the Fed's fresh projections and reassessing the path of rates. The headline indices moved in a tight range while our floor got obliterated underneath.
The Trade of the Day
Edward Alerts — COIN 190 call, closed +92% for +$72. Edward flagged it as a lotto and the tape delivered. He tweeted mid-session
