# We Got Cooked: 20 Losses, 2 Wins, and a -$1,080 Hole

> Friday's 9% win rate left the floor in shambles as Moon Trades went 0-for-10 and the Fed's rate-hike shadow kept yields climbing. One COIN lotto couldn't save the tape.

Daily Bag Report · The Bag Report by BagBot · September 18, 2026

## In short

- Friday's brutal 9% win rate wiped -$1,080 off the books as 20 of 22 trades closed red—Moon Trades went 0-for-10, the floor's worst showing in recent memory.
- Open Fade took the model-account crown with a clean 1W-0L card and +4% day return (+$4), while Edward's +92% COIN lotto (+$72) was the only real win anyone could find.
- The Fed's Wednesday rate hike kept yields climbing Friday, pushing the S&P down 0.1–0.2% and leaving our groups stuck in a cautious, range-bound grind with no momentum to work.

## The Floor Today

The Fed raised rates Wednesday for the first time in years—inflation from elevated crude during US-Israeli tensions—and Friday the hangover hit. Yields climbed again, the S&P slipped 0.1–0.2%, and our floor bled out: 22 trades closed, 20 losses, -$1,080 across the books. Moon Trades went full eclipse—10 swings, 10 losses, zero survivors. Even Edward's 92% COIN lotto couldn't plug the hole.

## The Podium

On model accounts (simulated fills, each starting at a grand), here's who ran the tape.

**Third place: Prophitcy** — 0W-1L, flat day return. One COST call expired worthless for -$145, the single worst trade of the session. No sugar-coating it: got caught completely wrong-footed.

**Second place: Edward Alerts — Options** — 1W-2L, flat day return, -$103 real P&L. Two exits hit the floor, but one COIN 190 call closed at +92% for +$72 and kept the scorecard alive. The only group today that logged a win and a pulse.

**Top of the tape: Open Fade — AI 0DTE Agent** — 1W-0L, +4% day return on the model account (+$4 model P&L). One trade, one clean exit, the only undefeated card at the bell. Small size, zero drama, and the crown by default when everyone else was down bad.

## The Comeback

Moon Trades opened the model account at $444, dropped to a low of $307 mid-session, then clawed back to $351 by the close—a 14% rally off the floor. Still finished the day down 21% and 0-for-7 on live closes, but the tape showed some fight on the way out instead of just bleeding into the bell.

## Portfolio Bleeds Red as 20 of 22 Trades Close in the Loss Column

Nine percent win rate. Two greens in 22 closes. Moon Trades took 10 swings and missed every single one—LNN, HHH, FET all got smoked for a combined -$466. Manual-book went 0-for-5 for -$315. Edward posted the session's only real win with that COIN call—he'd flagged it as a lotto and it printed 92%—but his other two exits dragged the group to -$103 overall. Prophitcy's COST 945 call lost 99% and closed as the day's worst trade at -$145. The one bright spot: Open Fade's model account took one 0DTE trade and banked +$4 without a single loss. Everywhere else, wholesale carnage.

## Fed Rate Hike Casts Shadow Over Markets as Yields Resume Climb

Wednesday the Fed hiked for the first time in years, citing inflation tied to elevated crude during the US-Israeli conflict with Iran. Thursday brought relief—crude cooled, yields dropped, the S&P rallied 1.1% and the Nasdaq ripped 1.7%. By Friday that grace period ended: Treasury yields edged higher again, the S&P gave back 0.1–0.2%, and the Dow slipped 0.35–0.38%. The macro mood is cautious but orderly—no new shocks, just investors digesting the Fed's fresh projections and reassessing the path of rates. The headline indices moved in a tight range while our floor got obliterated underneath.

## The Trade of the Day

Edward Alerts — COIN 190 call, closed +92% for +$72. Edward flagged it as a lotto and the tape delivered. He tweeted mid-session

## Learn: what-is-a-put

## What Is a Put?

A **put option** is a contract that gives you the right—but not the obligation—to *sell* a stock at a set price (the "strike") before a certain date. You pay a small premium up front, and if the stock falls below your strike, the put gains value. If it stays flat or rallies, the put can expire worthless and you lose only what you paid.

## Why Anyone Uses Them

Puts are the bet on a fall. Say SPY's at $560 and you think it's about to drop—you buy a $555 put for $200. If SPY falls to $550, your put might be worth $500 (you pocket the difference minus what you paid). If SPY stays above $555 or rallies, you're out the $200 premium, but your loss is capped there. Traders use puts to profit from declines, hedge long positions during shaky tape, or play earnings misses and macro scares. The setup: limited risk (the premium), leveraged upside if the stock tanks. The catch: time decay eats the contract every day it sits, so you need the move to happen before expiration or you're holding zero.

## Posts quoted

- @@EdwardAlerts: $COIN 🤯🏆 — $COIN 🤯🏆Edward Johnson (@EdwardAlerts)$COIN 190 CALL 9/18 @ 0.88 LOTTO— https://x.com/EdwardAlerts/status/2100947252361773277 — Edward Johnson (@EdwardAlerts) Sep 18, 2026 (https://x.com/EdwardAlerts/status/2100990536366936493)
- @@EdwardAlerts: $COIN IM SHAKINGG 🤯 — $COIN IM SHAKINGG 🤯Edward Johnson (@EdwardAlerts) $COIN 190 CALL 9/18 @ 0.88 LOTTO— https://x.com/EdwardAlerts/status/2100947252361773277 — Edward Johnson (@EdwardAlerts) Sep 18, 2026 (https://x.com/EdwardAlerts/status/2100964261040415086)
- @@EdwardAlerts: You know what. I’m restarting the $500 to $10,000 challenge. Last time it took me about 11 days, will try to do it faster this time. If you want to follow along, comment “$SPY” to join and like this post. Going to lock comments in 24 hours. — You know what. I’m restarting the… (https://x.com/EdwardAlerts/status/2101041697841148319)

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